Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico St.
Western Athletic
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.9#60
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#48
Pace69.1#178
Improvement-0.1#189

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#60
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.4#161

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#60
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.5#204
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round29.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2017 43   @ St. Mary's L 74-92 33%     0 - 1 -4.4 +6.8 +6.8
  Nov 17, 2017 105   New Mexico W 75-56 76%     1 - 1 +20.5 +0.8 +0.8
  Nov 22, 2017 225   Colorado St. W 89-76 92%     2 - 1 +6.2 -3.4 -3.4
  Nov 25, 2017 249   UTEP W 72-63 94%     3 - 1 +0.8 -4.1 -4.1
  Nov 30, 2017 249   @ UTEP W 80-60 85%     4 - 1 +17.8 -1.1 -1.1
  Dec 03, 2017 291   Prairie View W 69-57 96%     5 - 1 +1.2 -5.4 -5.4
  Dec 06, 2017 130   San Diego L 60-65 82%     5 - 2 -6.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Dec 09, 2017 105   @ New Mexico W 65-62 55%     6 - 2 +10.6 +3.8 +3.8
  Dec 16, 2017 94   Illinois W 74-69 64%     7 - 2 +10.2 +2.6 +2.6
  Dec 22, 2017 53   Davidson W 69-68 47%     8 - 2 +10.6 +4.8 +4.8
  Dec 23, 2017 38   Miami (FL) W 63-54 41%     9 - 2 +20.1 +5.6 +5.6
  Dec 25, 2017 36   USC L 72-77 41%     9 - 3 +6.3 +5.7 +5.7
  Dec 28, 2017 154   @ UC Irvine W 65-60 68%     10 - 3 +8.9 +2.0 +2.0
  Jan 06, 2018 346   @ Chicago St. W 97-60 97%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +23.1 -7.0 -7.0
  Jan 11, 2018 116   @ Grand Canyon W 70-59 59%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +17.5 +3.2 +3.2
  Jan 13, 2018 234   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 66-53 83%     13 - 3 3 - 0 +11.8 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 18, 2018 190   Seattle W 75-62 90%     14 - 3 4 - 0 +8.0 -2.5 -2.5
  Jan 20, 2018 103   Utah Valley W 86-59 75%     15 - 3 5 - 0 +28.7 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 27, 2018 289   @ UMKC W 73-48 89%     16 - 3 6 - 0 +20.4 -2.3 -2.3
  Feb 03, 2018 276   UT Rio Grande Valley W 90-67 95%     17 - 3 7 - 0 +13.3 -4.8 -4.8
  Feb 08, 2018 234   Cal St. Bakersfield W 69-43 92%     18 - 3 8 - 0 +18.8 -3.6 -3.6
  Feb 10, 2018 116   Grand Canyon W 74-70 79%     19 - 3 9 - 0 +4.4 +0.2 +0.2
  Feb 15, 2018 103   @ Utah Valley L 79-86 54%     19 - 4 9 - 1 +0.7 +3.9 +3.9
  Feb 17, 2018 190   @ Seattle L 63-73 OT 77%     19 - 5 9 - 2 -8.9 +0.5 +0.5
  Feb 22, 2018 346   Chicago St. W 78-67 99%     20 - 5 10 - 2 -9.0 -10.0 -10.0
  Feb 24, 2018 289   UMKC W 82-58 95%     21 - 5 11 - 2 +13.3 -5.3 -5.3
  Mar 03, 2018 276   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 86-71 88%     22 - 5 12 - 2 +11.3 -1.8 -1.8
  Mar 08, 2018 346   Chicago St. W 97-70 98%     23 - 5 +10.1 -8.5 -8.5
  Mar 09, 2018 190   Seattle W 84-79 84%     24 - 5 +3.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Mar 10, 2018 116   Grand Canyon W 72-58 70%     25 - 5 +17.5 +1.7 +1.7
Projected Record 25.0 - 5.0 12.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.9 0.0 0.2 21.7 68.4 9.7 0.0
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.9 0.0 0.2 21.7 68.4 9.7 0.0